FSRU Staffs Sleeper List
1. RB Beanie Wells, Arizona Cardinals: Wells started the season with knee injury and was completely unproductive for most of 2010. While it is quite likely he will win the starting RB job over the always unproductive Tim Hightower, the primary concern is whether the Cardinals will continue to go with a diminished running game while they focus on a badly done pass heavy attack. If Wells is healthy, grab him up in the 6th/7th round and hope he can become the 2nd/3rd rounder he should be.
2. QB Kevin Kolb, Philadelphia Eagles: Michael Vick is the Eagles starting QB, of that I am sure. That means that if Kolb stays in Philly, he becomes a very expensive backup, probably too expensive. It is likely that he will be traded at some point and if he goes to a team like the Arizona Cardinals, he will likely be a nice choice for a late pick.
3. WR Jordy Nelson, Green Bay Packers: Nelson was the Packers #4 WR in 2010. Despite that distinction, Nelson was the better receiver than the higher acclaimed James Jones. With Donald Driver at the end of his career and Jones a free agent, it is possible Nelson will find his way to #2 on the depth chart and in position for a monster season. Try to find an excuse to draft him before everyone else.
4. TE Jimmy Graham, New Orleans Saints: Graham was a fantasy football nobody for the first half of the season. But in the 2nd half, Brees started to use him and started to like him. He caught 3 TD's in the final 4 games and you should expect a big year, all year, out of him for 2011. He was targeted for only 43 passes in 2010 and he caught 31 of them. He will be listed very late on most cheat sheets, try to get him a pick or two before your last pick and you should get him.
5. RB Montario Hardesty, Cleveland Browns: In the preseason finale, Hardesty tore his ACL. Before that he was looking like the stud rookie the Browns were expecting. His injury handed the starting job to Peyton Hillis unencumbered, and Hillis was great, at least at the beginning. We began 2010 thinking Peyton Hillis was, well, WOW...The total stud running back every team dreams of. but the deeper the season went, the less productive he became. Will Hillis begin 2011 as the starting RB, probably. Will Hillis end the season as the starting RB, probably not. If Hardesty is healthy and has no lasting effects of the knee injury, we think he will take a strong hold on the job as the primary RB. How Hardesty goes in the draft may depend on how well he does in spring training, but he will likely fall to past round 10. Schedule him as your 9th round pick (or a round later) and you will likely get the starting Cleveland Browns RB by midseason at a nice discount.
6. QB Matt Stafford, Detroit Lions: We all like Stafford ability, the fact he passed for 6 TD's in the first two games of 2010 is a testament to that. But the fact he has spent almost all of the last two seasons on the DL for shoulder injuries is a testament to his ability to not stay healthy. In 2011, he goes into the season with a starting job and a host of weapons that include Calvin Johnson, Nate Burleson and others. We think you could grab a big player in Stafford for later than expected.
FSRU's NOT NECESSARILY A SLEEPER LIST:
RB LeGarrette Blount, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: OK, OK, we realize that this guy is totally not a sleeper, he is going 3rd round in most drafts, we put him here so you will not be scared to take him in the 2nd...Blount was finally handed the starting job in week 7 and was a strong reason the Bucs made the playoffs. In their final 10 games he ran for over 100 yards four times and scored 6 TD's. Look for a season that nets him 10+ TD's and over 1200 yards in 2011.
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